FXCC : MARKET UPDATE 30.04.2013

2013-04-30 09:00 GMT The Fed will most likely keep its policy unchanged On Monday, global core bonds easily recouped an early session dip triggered by the formation of an Italian government, which received the confidence of parliament yesterday. Furthermore, equities kept a positive tone and closed with moderate gains. However, core bonds ignored equities and traded sideways in a tight range, once initial losses were recouped. By the end of trading, German yields were less than 1 bp from Friday’s close. US yields were virtually unchanged too, with the exception of the 30-yr (+ 1.7 bps). In other news, inflation figures of Germany, Belgium and Spain showed a sharp slowing, while the EU confidence data were a bit weaker than expected. They were bond supportive, but we didn’t see a reaction upon publication. US eco data (see news section) were largely ignored. Bond auctions in Italy and Belgium went well (see below). - FXstreet.com   2013-04-30 12:30 GMT CAD.Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (Feb) 2013-04-30 13:45 GMT USA.Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (Apr) 2013-04-30 14:00 GMT USA.Consumer Confidence (Apr) 2013-04-30 22:30 GMT AUS.AiG Performance of Mfg Index (Apr)   2013-04-30 07:09 GMT EUR/USD dips to 1.3075/80 on Spanish GDP 2013-04-30 07:01 GMT USD/CHF erases losses after German retail sales 2013-04-30 06:45 GMT USD/JPY at lows of 97.70 after jump to 98.13 high 2013-04-30 06:31 GMT GBP/USD below 1.5500 ahead of UK data

AUDUSD 1.03529 / 535 NZDUSD 0.85497 / 509 USDCHF 0.93644 / 654 USDCAD 1.01198 / 204 GBPJPY 151.479 / 493 EURCHF 1.22520 / 530 GOLD 1473.36 / .81 SILVER 24.35 / .39

EURUSD HIGH1.31205 LOW1.30668 BID1.30732 ASK1.30737 CHANGE-0.19% TIME10:57:22

OUTLOOK SUMMARY Down TREND CONDITION Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 1.3103 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 1.3121(R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.3135 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 1.3076 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 1.3062 (S2) and 1.3045 (S3) might be triggered. Resistance Levels: 1.3103, 1.3121, 1.3135 Support Levels: 1.3076, 1.3062, 1.3045

GBPUSD HIGH1.55066 LOW1.54681 BID1.54906 ASK1.54909 CHANGE-0.06% TIME10:57:23

OUTLOOK SUMMARY TREND CONDITION Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY Medium

Upwards scenario: Our technical outlook for the medium-term perspective remains bullish oriented. Clearance of next resistance level at 1.5534 (R1) would enable bullish pressure and open route towards to our next targets at 1.5560 (R2) and 1.5583 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, successful retest of our next support level at 1.5469 (S1) might provide sufficient momentum for the price acceleration towards to interim target at 1.5433 (S2). Final aim for today locates at 1.5401 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5534, 1.5560, 1.5583 Support Levels: 1.5469, 1.5433, 1.5401

USDJPY HIGH98.125 LOW97.673 BID97.814 ASK97.816 CHANGE0.06% TIME10:57:23

OUTLOOK SUMMARY Down TREND CONDITION Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY Medium

Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the immediate resistive barrier at 92.02 (R1). Price extension above it is required to validate our next intraday targets at 98.16 (R2) and 98.30 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 97.59 (S1). Break here is required to open a route towards to next target at 97.42 (S2) and then any further easing would be targeting final support at 97.27 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.02, 98.16, 98.30 Support Levels: 97.59, 97.42, 97.27

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