Future expectations are the source of many investing philosophies which is why discussion of “hard-landing” and “soft-landing” scenarios have been floated around by most talking heads and Asian analysts as distinct possibilities. With a once-generational Chinese leadership transition to the 5th generation rapidly approaching in mid-October, will the policies and stewardship of the previous communist leadership carry the nation into the next era of growth and expansion? Or will the efforts go unnoticed as rapidly emerging threats to continued exponential growth prove hurdles that cannot be overcome? Chinese stock indices and the Australian economy have traditionally served as bell-weathers of the China thesis. Have these markets overheated with expectations?
With what could be the “canary in the coalmine” moment , the newly announced subsequent round of global easing has yet to be fully evaluated for its efficacy and success in promoting growth globally. The “wait and see” attitude that will prevail over the next few months will certainly paint us a clear picture of the future economic prowess of China.
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